Technology power

AI capability, military tech, cyber, space, and strategic technology control events Filter with GET /api/v2/events?family=cameoplus&cameoplus_domain=TECHNOLOGY, or on a specific subcategory code below. Every code in this domain starts TE. Goldstein does not apply to this domain — see the domain index. How the metrics read in this domain. magnitude is an impact tier for capability leap or disruption severity; propagation_potential reads the transmission conditions present now (shared dependency, common exposure), not a forecast of who will be hit next

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TE01

AI CAPABILITY EVENT A frontier AI research or deployment milestone meeting at least one measurable trigger: (a) confirmed model training compute scale ≥5× increase over prior frontier system; (b) benchmark record on an established evaluation suite (MMLU, MATH, HumanEval, GPQA, SWE-bench, ARC-Challenge, or equivalent established evaluation); (c) confirmed deployment into a national security, military, or critical infrastructure system; (d) government regulatory milestone (mandatory safety evaluation required before deployment, deployment paused or restricted by regulator); (e) confirmed autonomous operation in a novel task domain without human intervention. Vague “more capable” announcements, incremental version releases, or marketing claims without measurable benchmark evidence → SKIP or code with low confidence. Also covers

• GPT-5 scores 90th percentile on GPQA Diamond benchmark
• Chinese PLA confirms AI-enabled command-and-control system deployment
• EU AI Act triggers mandatory safety evaluation for GPT-5 class model
• autonomous AI agent completes novel multi-step software engineering task without human guidance
• confirmed 10× compute scale-up over prior frontier model announced by lab

Does not cover

• DUAL-USE: when an event could be TE01 (AI) or CO04 (commercial product), ask: is this a step-change in AI capability frontier? → TE01. Is it a commercial product release? → CO04.
• TE01 > CO04 when the article’s primary framing is strategic capability rather than commercial product launch.

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TE02

MILITARY TECHNOLOGY EVENT A state or state-affiliated entity tests, deploys, or demonstrates a military technology capability: hypersonic missile test, new-generation weapons system successful test, directed energy weapon deployment, autonomous or AI-enabled weapons system test, drone swarm capability demonstration, nuclear delivery system test (non-detonation), underwater autonomous vehicle deployment. Also covers

• A weapons test announced for the future is SKIP; a test confirmed as having occurred is TE02.
• Russia tests Avangard hypersonic glide vehicle
• US Navy deploys laser weapon system
• China tests MIRV capability on DF-5B
• DARPA demonstrates autonomous dog-fighting AI

Does not cover

• TE02 > TE04 (a weapons satellite test is TE02).

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TE03

CYBER EVENT A significant malicious cyber operation with state-level scale or critical infrastructure impact: confirmed large-scale intrusion campaign against government systems, ransomware attack on critical infrastructure (hospitals, power grids, pipelines), zero-day exploit used in a targeted state-sponsored attack, major data breach of classified government systems, takedown of critical internet infrastructure. Distinguish from low-level commercial cyber crime. Also covers

• TE03 requires either (a) confirmed state-sponsored attack, (b) critical infrastructure target, or (c) scale affecting tens of thousands of systems nationally.
• Colonial Pipeline ransomware attack
• SolarWinds supply chain compromise affecting US federal agencies
• Chinese state hackers breach US Treasury
• NotPetya wiper attack on Ukrainian infrastructure

Does not cover

• Individual company breaches without strategic impact → SKIP.
• TE03 > TE06 (a cyber attack targeting a semiconductor fab is TE03, not TE06).

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TE04

SPACE OR SATELLITE EVENT A strategic event in the space domain: satellite launch with military or dual-use capability, anti-satellite (ASAT) test or demonstrated capability, space station construction or crew deployment, space debris event from intentional destruction, rendezvous and proximity operations (RPO) by military satellite, GPS or satellite communication disruption. Also covers

• China tests kinetic ASAT destroying weather satellite
• SpaceX launches Starlink military batch
• Russia demonstrates co-orbital ASAT capability
• GPS jamming campaign confirmed affecting aviation

Does not cover

• Routine commercial satellite launches without strategic payload → lower priority or SKIP.

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TE05

STRATEGIC TECHNOLOGY CONTROL A government enacts a specific export control, technology transfer restriction, or research collaboration ban targeting strategic technology: chip export restrictions to named countries (enacted, not proposed), technology company blacklisting, restriction on foreign acquisition of technology companies, research collaboration prohibitions, component export bans. The control must be ENACTED, not just announced for future consideration. Also covers

• US BIS adds 28 Chinese entities to Entity List
• Biden administration enacts semiconductor export controls on China
• UK bans Huawei from 5G core network
• TSMC halts shipments to customer following US controls

Does not cover

• If the mechanism is specifically technology export controls or entity listing → TE05. If it is part of a broader economic sanctions package → EC04. If it is diplomatic → POLITICAL.
• TE05 > EC04 when the restriction specifically targets technology companies or chip supply chains.

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TE06

CRITICAL TECH INFRASTRUCTURE A milestone or disruption event in foundational technology infrastructure: semiconductor fabrication facility reaching production milestone (first wafers at advanced node), quantum computing capability milestone, nuclear technology event (reactor startup, fusion milestone), undersea cable construction or cut with strategic implications (distinct from IN04 — this is about the technology capability, not pure disruption), critical standards body decision affecting technology ecosystem. Also includes sovereign AI / national compute infrastructure milestones: a government-designated national AI data center or strategic compute facility reaching activation, production, or capacity milestone (e.g., national GPU cluster coming online, sovereign AI initiative commissioning first compute cluster). Distinguish from IN01 (general power grid or data center power event), CO03 (commercial private data center construction), and CO05 (private data center investment): TE06 requires the facility to be designated as national strategic compute infrastructure with AI or advanced technology capability significance by a government authority. Also covers

• TSMC Arizona fab begins 3nm production
• IBM achieves 1,000-qubit processor
• China’s experimental fusion reactor achieves net energy milestone
• ITER reaches plasma ignition threshold
• UAE activates national AI compute cluster under government AI strategy
• UK ISAMBARD-AI sovereign compute facility reaches full operational capacity